We Got A Unicorn – Now Don’t Screw It Up

No. This has absolutely nothing to do with sports, just a game.

I’ve been at this a long time. I have seen candidates who are not too bright win campaigns while those few brilliant candidates are sent back home without even a “parting gift.”

Then, I’ve been told, there are magic moments when it may seem like some powerful force has stepped in to save the campaign. It’s something like a Political Unicorn; You can’t make it appear, but when it does you have to be smart enough not to screw it up.

Dear Friends, I believe that is the current status of Arizona’s campaign for an open United States Senate seat.

Mark Kelly for US SenateWith that, I’d like to introduce the 2020 Unicorn.

We were sent a genuine hero.

Seems fitting, doesn’t it? The Democratic candidate for the United States Senate seat previously held by the late Senator John McCain is himself a hero.

Now, all we need to do is not screw it up.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Former Gov. Brewer tries to put lipstick on Trump “asylum” policies.

This is a link to an opinion column attributed to former governor Jan Brewer published in the Arizona Capitol Times.

The core of the column is an attempt to put lipstick on the disastrous Trump administration border policies that have created the very real humanitarian crisis. Those are the same policies that have resulted in children being taken away from their parents and unbelievably “lost” somewhere in the Trump bureaucracy where expertise and experience don’t seem to be valued.

Mrs. Brewer’s column wrongly states that there has been a 1,700% increase in those seeking asylum in the United States with 80% trying to pull a fast one in order to sneak into the country with false claims. This is the response I sent to the newspaper:

It’s a funny thing about source citations; when you actually follow the citation links you may find that the meaning of that original source has been twisted to satisfy an agenda. In this case, the former governor tries to support another one of Donald Trump’s immigration “alternative fact” claims with a citation from a June 2018 “PolitiFact” article.
But the article doesn’t support the sinister implication suggested by Mrs. Brewer. To coin a phrase, here’s the “rest of the story” from the same article:


“There was a 1,675 percent increase in asylum claims reviewed by the Homeland Security Department from 2008 to 2017. But that does not evidence fraud, as Trump suggested. Record levels of violence and persecution abroad largely explain the rise in asylum claims, experts told us.”


In all fairness, I don’t intend to suggest that Mrs. Brewer has tried to deliberately mislead.
Actually, I doubt very much whether she read the original source citations in her column. It reads like something written by a so-called conservative “think tank,’ and then shopped around to Trump sympathizers who, in turn, use their assumed credibility to get the article published.

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Special Message to the Arizona Legislature

Dear Members of the Arizona Legislature,

We’ve been noticing that you don’t seem to remember the Oath you swore to when we elected you.

You know the one:

 

You may have forgotten that one very important portion of the Arizona Constitution you swore to defend is Article 2 Section 5. Here’s what it says:

Section 5. The right of petition, and of the people peaceably to assemble for the common good, shall never be abridged.”

From everything we can see, you folks are “abridging” like mad!

Cut it out.

Your job is not to make voting or petitioning more difficult but to facilitate every CITIZEN’s participation in democracy.

Even if you think they’ll vote against you or circulate a petition proposing a new law or constitutional amendment you don’t like.

You have a problem with certain CITIZENS? Tough.

Start adhering to your oath, get out or be voted out.

Your choice.

(Originally published to Facebook – @BobGrossfeld)

 

 

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Look for Trump to Play “Let’s make a deal.”

I wrote this at the start of the new year after having thought about it for months. It just seemed like it was time for the second act…especially since I have a one-dollar bet going with a good friend on how this turns out. I think my scenario is most likely. His view is that nothing will happen and 2020 will be a replay of Trump’s 2016 circus.

I’m right.

I’m encountering more conversations all of which focus on how and when Mr. Trump will be booted out of the White House. Much of this may just be wishful thinking but at this stage of the game thinking not necessarily tethered to some set of twisted  “facts” is welcome.

Donald Trump will resign the presidency before the end of 2019 or sooner.

Why? Because he’s going to be made an offer he can’t refuse. 

The deal will go down as the gathering storm surrounding Mr. Trump takes shape.

The multiple investigations are all pointing in one direction. Mr. Trump, his business interests and his children will all be on the table. The various authorities, both state and federal, will eventually come together to carve out a simple “plea bargain.” Criminal charges pending against Mr. Trump and his children will go away and, in exchange, he will resign the presidency.

Watch for it.

 

 

 

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Something to get really pissed about…

Here’s a piece of news for anyone who was following the petition signature disasters of 2018: the politicians figured out a way to get their candidate petitions signed online through the Secretary of State’s office on something called E-Qual.

You read that right. While thousands of volunteers were hitting the streets gathering up petition signatures one at a time day in and day out, week after week, month after month, the politicians could just sit back and direct people to the state’s website where they can “sign” nominating petitions.

When I first saw this I thought this must have been testing a system or something similar.  One call to the Secretary of State election division cleared that up. No, I was told, the system to allow politicians to avoid having to collect signatures one at a time out on the street was legitimate.

And, I was told; there were none of those pesky fraudulent petition signatures to deal with. After a voter filled out a basic form their information was immediately matched against the statewide voter file, the same one that is used now manually. If everything matches up, your name goes on their petition. If not, too bad.

They even gave me where in Arizona law this was allowed. Turns out, it’s been there for ages. You can look it up yourself. Just Google “ARS 16 – 316.” That’s where the politicians stashed this backdoor. But that one just took care of candidates for the legislature and statewide offices.

Now, look up “ARS 16 – 317“. This one added on politicians at the city town and county level. So they won’t have to go out and collect signatures either.

But wait there’s more. Check out “ARS 16 – 318“. That one, so that candidates for the United States Senate and Congress could also shift their campaign budgets because they’re saving the cost of petition collection.

Now don’t get me wrong. I’ve been working with candidates and campaigns for decades and I can put up with their occasional perks.

But this is way over the line.

Show me one candidate who’ll campaign to expand online petition signatures for ALL of us that includes referendums, initiatives and constitutional amendments I’ll be all in for her.

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Goodbye Mr.Flake. Hello Mrs. Flakey

I never agreed with much of what Senator Jeff Flake said when it came to policy — although I liked his stand on Cuba. But I always believed him to be a decent, honorable man.

The other day he proved that with a Senate floor speech which, with any luck, will become a turning point for Republicans. Those who share his deep concern about Mr. Trump, but don’t have the backbone to stand up and say so, at least have someone to quote now.

But, like all things political, time marches on.

It’s Thursday so I suspect the Sunday morning political talk show are working like mad to get a piece of Flake for their shows. In the business it’s called a “get.” I wish them luck.

The other “get” may be the worst nightmare for those of us  who actually live in Arizona: former state senator and resident ‘flakey person’ Dr. Kelli Ward. Ward is known around these parts as “Chemtrail Kelli” for her deep belief that those white smoke-like trails jet aircraft leave in the sky are, in fact, a government plot to control all of us with some sort of mind altering drug. That pretty much qualifies her as the Trump/Bannon preferred candidate to replace Flake in the U.S. Senate, I’d say.

In the meantime, a whole slew of Arizona Republicans, each trying to out-crazy the other and pledge their undying support of Trump have sprung into action.

NOTE TO REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS: When the pollsters call you this weekend, and they will, have some fun: tell them you’re “undecided.” This is especially fun if the call is from one of major TV networks, New York Times, Washington Post, etc. They’d like nothing more than to see “Arizona in play” for the senate race. When their colleagues are battling the weather back East they can be here playing golf. 

My personal favorite is Arizona State treasurer Jeff Dewit. ‘Ole Jeff has pretty much been a ghost for most of the 2016 election and into 2017 in his role as “Treasurer for the Trump campaign.” I’ve never verified that, mostly because I didn’t care, but it seems like a good idea for someone to check out.

In any event, if true, I suspect that anyone Trump/Bannon trusted with their cash has to have the inside track on this one — or be prepared for one helluva IRS audit.

In the meantime, the U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema campaign has to put a limit on their  giddiness — take a day or two — and then come back to reality. Their mission is going to be finding enough Democrats, Independents  and “I’m-fed-up-with-the-Republican-crats”to win next year…a little over 12 months from now. 

Their best course, I suspect, will be to maintain their heading and not take the Trump/Bannon bait that’ll be carpet-bombing the state.

Trump/Bannon thrive on the thin skin of their targets/opponents. That’s what all the nicknames are about, not to mention the outright lies. And they really don’t care much about any attempted “counter attacks” aimed at them. Because they know their base won’t care. In fact, their allegiance will just grow stronger.

Well, that’s going way too far into the future for me. A lot is going to happen between now and then. Hold tight, its going to be a very rough road.

 

 

 

 

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I’ve Run Out Of Adjectives…

I know, I know, I know.

But as much as I share the opinions (and prayers) of my progressive colleagues, the truth is that the odds are overwhelmingly against Republicans using their control of Congress to fix this mess. No matter how dangerous things become. And they are becoming dangerous.

So about all I have left is what I’ve said before: Work my tail off to get progressive Democrats elected to Congress and the Senate next year. Some colleagues assure me that just running against Trump is sufficient to win. But I disagree. I lived through the Nixon years. There was every reason to boot that crook out of office when he ran for a second term. Vietnam. Watergate. And so on. It didn’t work. Closer to home, Fife Symington won reelection while the hammer was coming down on him for his real estate dealings. It didn’t work either.

The unfortunate truth is that without coordinated progressive campaigns we might not be able to unseat him. And I don’t want to trust the job to Republicans.

So what does that mean? For openers, just running against Trump, I believe, won’t be enough. We have to avoid sounding “negative” and appeal to voters need for aspirational campaigns. Some of that will, by necessity, mean fixing the mess that we’ll face in 2018. Of course we’ll need to talk about restoring the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to the job of actually protecting the environment. And on, and on, and on.

But the key ingredient, I believe is  to follow the advice President Bill Clinton gave to some young Democrats. “When we talk about ourselves, we lose. When we talk about the people, we win.”

So I believe that between now and when the first ballots are mailed out in October 2018, we progressives will have to find ways to to talk with voters, not at them. And that starts with listening, really listening.

Now here’s a warning based on too many years of experience: we’re not going to necessarily like what we’ll hear. That’s ok. We need to start somewhere. And that is the only way we’ll be able to intelligently, aspirationally, talk about them, not us.

Peace

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Watch Out: Trump is on his way to “Wag The Dog.”

If you’ve never heard the phrase “Wag The Dog” you may be missing out on what could be the Washington story of the year.

But I get ahead of myself.

“Wag the Dog” refers to a story and film by that name that came out in 1997. The basic plot is simple and at the time a political comedy. A fictitious president of the United States is becoming  embroiled in a sex scandal involving a young teenage girl and the story is about to break just days before his reelection. The President instructs his staff to contact a political consultant known for his abilities at damage control to help manage the issue long enough for the president to win reelection.

Jumping ahead a bit, the consultant starts to fabricate  a war with “Albania.” The idea: Distract the media and country from the unfolding sex scandal. Most of the film is describing the specific techniques and tactics used to sell the idea there was a war with Albania to the American people.

And it works. Within a few days the country and media has been taken through the growth and unwinding of “the war” leaving the president as a hero who easily wins reelection.

Analogies to the story became rampant during the Bill Clinton administration and efforts to distract the country from the brewing White House intern scandal. And, to some extent it worked.

So, what does all of that have to do with 2017?

I propose that we are coming dangerously close, if not already up to our eyeballs,  to the United States Actor-in-Chief picking up the storyline in a desperate escalating attempt to distract the media and the country from the unfolding Russia scandal.

Except that this time the war is not with a fictitious harmless country. This time the threat is very real: North Korea.

And this time, the scandals run throughout the United States government. With incompetent people politically selected to head the various agencies down to various “assistants” and “aides” populating the federal government. 

And this time, treaties between the United States and other countries are being torn-up and relations with allies are strained to a near breaking point. Not to mention an ill-equipped son-in-law given control over massive sections of the government.

Oh, and what seems like just an afterthought, this POTUS is bilking the taxpayers for lavish spending at his various hotels and golf courses around the world. And receiving untold amounts of cash from other countries in the ultimate money laundering scheme.

All of which appears to be an effort to distract and cover-up the president’s unfathomable relationships and co-conspiracies with Russia.

In the film director Barry Levinson gives us this to chew on:

“Why does a dog wag its tail? Because a dog is smarter than its tail. If the tail were smarter, the tail would wag the dog.”

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This isn’t the America my Dad fought for.

My Dad died when I was 19.

But even today I remember that small patch of smooth skin on his left shoulder. It had an almost translucent quality. Dad never liked to talk about it. Just once he told me he’d been shot in the war, in the Philippines,  and there was still a small piece of metal  deep beneath the skin.

He almost never talked about it, but every once in awhile  his shoulder would “act up” and he’d have me slather some smelly concoction on the site. Was supposed to make it hurt less.

I am thinking about my Dad a lot these days. I can’t help but think that the country we’re becoming now is not the America he fought for. His shoulder would be”acting up.”

 

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If it has feathers and quacks it’s a duck

I know I can’t be the only one. Right? I mean it seems as if everyone with any sense left looks at Mr. Trump’s actions and words regarding Russia and comes to the same conclusion: He’s the only one who can’t or won’t acknowledge that Russia launched a massive cyberattack on the United States during our 2016 election.

Even the normally split down the middle Congress has put their bipartisan big boy pants on to say that, yes, the Russians did it. Not, as Mr. Trump said some “400lbs kid sitting on his bed.”

At every turn of events, Mr. Trump either changes the subject or supports Russian interests over our own. There are, of course, various theories that purport to explain this. Some make sense most others are just wild speculation. 

I don’t know the answer. But I’m confident of this. Back during the “Cold War” Trump would have been impeached by now for his failure to “preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States…”

Quack.

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